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Quantitative Easing Explained: What $15 Trillion Money Printing Means for Your Wealth

The ECB and FED are printing money like never before - but what does that mean for your assets? This deep analysis shows how $15 trillion in monetary growth will fundamentally change your savings rates and portfolios.

What is Quantitative Easing?

Quantitative Easing (QE) is the economic policy tool of our time. While traditional monetary policy cuts interest rates, in QE central banks directly buy up government bonds and other securities on the open market - they print money to buy assets.

According to Daniel Huber's research, these interventions are unprecedented. The Fed's balance sheet has swelled from $700 billion (2008) to over $7 trillion. That's an increase of a factor of 10 in less than two decades.

Why do central banks do this?

The Fed balance sheet expansion

The 2008 financial crisis was the turning point. Overnight, central banks had to throw out the traditional playbook.

FED balance sheet expansion since 2008
Dramatic money supply growth in crisis phases
FED balance sheet (trillion USD) 2008 2010 2015 2020 2021 2022 0 2 4 6 7+ 0.7 billion 2.1 billion 4.5 billion 7.0 billion 7.9 billion 8.8 billion
1,100% Increase in the Fed's balance sheet since 2008

ECB bond purchase programs

The ECB followed the American model, but later and less aggressively – at least initially. Huber's data shows that the ECB's balance sheet has been growing at 11.4% per year, significantly slower than the Fed.

The ECB’s PEPP (Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program) from 2020 was the turning point. Within a few months, the ECB bought government bonds for over 1.8 trillion euros.

ECB bond purchases according to program
Accumulated volume (billion EUR)
programs APP 2,600 CSPP 350 PEPP 1,850
APP (Asset Purchase Programme)
CSPP (Corporate Sector Purchase Programme)
PEPP (Pandemic Emergency)

Impact on your assets

This is the critical question:What does this mean for your money?

$15 trillion Global Central Bank Total Assets (2022)

1. Asset prices rise

QE leads to artificially lower discount rates. This means that future income will be discounted less. Consequence: Stocks and real estate become more expensive, regardless of profits.

2. Purchasing power falls

Money supply growth without real economic production leads to inflation. The Polleit forecast in Huber's thesis: 30% loss of purchasing power in Germany by 2026.

3. Savings rates are penalized

With nominal interest rates below the inflation rate (real interest rates <0%), your bank savings lose value every day. This is mathematically inevitable.

Money supply M2 vs. inflation
Long-term correlation (nominal values)
+300% base time (years) M2 growth inflation

Summary

QE is the largest peacetime economic intervention. The money supply has become so large that traditional savings are being punished. You must hold your assets in real assets: stocks, real estate, commodities, gold.

Huber's thesis shows: The efficiency line for portfolios in QE times shifts massively. Cash is no longer a safe investment – ​​it is a risk.

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Akademische Quelle: Master Thesis
Entwicklung einer optimalen Asset Allocation in Zeiten expansiver Geld- und Fiskalpolitik
Daniel Huber, M.A. — Hochschule Mainz, 2020 | Betreut von Prof. Dr. Arno Peppmeier
13.174 Wörter · 92 Abbildungen · 39 Tabellen · Markowitz-Effizienzlinienanalyse
Vollständige Thesis herunterladen (PDF, 6 MB) →
DH
Gründer & CEO von CANVENA | 215 Mio. USD Track Record